Writing
Geopolitical analysis, data research, and essays on international relations, strategy, and history. Published on Medium and elsewhere.
When listening to "Lama Bada Yatathana" — a thousand-year-old Muwashah from Islamic Andalusia — the realisation that Arabic stands alone among ancient languages in its resilience becomes undeniable. An exploration of why.
An analysis of the doctrine shift reshaping the Atlantic alliance — from "Keep the Russians out, the Americans in" to something far less certain — and what it means for European strategic autonomy.
A geopolitical deep-dive into the International North South Transport Corridor (INSTC), examining the alliances, rivalries, and the counterintuitive bottleneck undermining Eurasia's most ambitious infrastructure project.
A postmortem of the Ukrainian–Russian conflict through the lens of neutral states — what history tells us about the durability of non-alignment as a strategy, and whether it remains viable.
A first-hand account from the Aquarius rescue ship examining the policy architecture that allows European institutions to maintain plausible deniability while shaping the fate of thousands of migrants at sea.
A deliberate separation of political and humanitarian lenses in analysing Zelenskyy's role in the conflict — and why conflating the two distorts our understanding of the war's deeper mechanics.
Tracing Putin's ascension to power and the structural logic behind Russia's westward pressure — a report-style narrative examining how the present was made inevitable by decades of decisions.
Starting from the Washington Post's December 2021 unclassified US intelligence report forecasting the invasion — an examination of how the West processed, discarded, and then rediscovered the evidence in real time.
Why Western sanctions on Russia — modelled on the Iran and North Korea playbooks — may not hold. An analysis of how the Eurasian continental bloc is more structurally resilient than any previous target of economic pressure.
A statistical study examining how well EA FIFA's potential ratings predict which players actually reach elite level — covering club effects, nationality bias, top-potential curses, and the top 25 rises and steepest declines in overall rating.